PMP Question Please help

 A project manager has been asked by the client to meet the promise date of the project. The project manager analyzes the schedule before promising a date to the customer. The project manager uses the program evaluation and review technique to evaluate the project schedule. She decides that based on the PERT calculations she can promise a delivery date of June 30. The expected value of the project completion date is May 30. If the project manager is willing to accept a 5% probability that the project will be delivered later than June 30, what is the standard deviation of the duration of the activities on the critical path? Assume a five-day workweek.


a. Ten days
b. Fifteen days
c. One-half month
d. One month


 

 this question always asked and it creats trouble to all.

I have explained it in my blog. er-sspawar.blogspot.in DATED 29/MAY/2012.

Also can search putting key words in search box.

 I went through other related discussions and explanation at your blog but still not able to get that how you reach that 31 D = 1.65 Sigma (95% Probability, for 2 sigma its 47.7%)

I am able to get rest of the things. Can you please explain?

 

On this below link, answered othrwise...pls check

http://pmhub.net/forums/viewtopic.php?f=50&t=15328 

 

Deviation =2 sigma since confidence is 95%

expected date+4 weeks = expected date+ SD*2

SD=4 weeks/2 = 2 weeks or 1/2 month so the answer is C

You may go through few more postings of blog above (later)of that one . how 95% area have 1.65 score is given there.
Also refer this link
http://www.pmzilla.com/standard-deviation-0