What is a ±3sigma confidence interval?
Submitted by YH on Fri, 11/07/2014 - 20:09
Together with your team, you applied three-point estimation on a critical path which consists of two activities. The following duration uncertainties are all calculated assuming a ±3sigma confidence interval. The duration uncertainty—defined as pessimistic minus optimistic estimate—of the first activity is 18 days; the second estimate has an uncertainty of 24 days. Applying the PERT formula for paths, what is the duration uncertainty of the entire path? 94
o 21 days
o 30 days
o 42 days
o No statement is possible from the information given.
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